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Research

My research currently focuses on empirical international economics. In my thesis I concentrated on Bayesian Model Averaging and macroeconomics. In the past, I did some work on economic geography, currency reserves, and fixed income. See also my Repec page

Articles

• Turrini, A., and Zeugner, S. (2019). Benchmarks for Net International Investment Positions. Journal of International Money and Finance 95, 149-164.
  Working paper version
• Benkovskis, K., Bluhm, B., Bobeica, E., Osbat, C., and Zeugner, S. (2019). What drives export market shares? It depends! An empirical analysis using Bayesian model averaging. Empirical Economics, 1-53.
  Earlier working paper version
• Kollmann, R., and Zeugner, S. (2018). Blanchard and Kahns (1980) Solution for a Linear Rational Expectations Model with One State Variable and One Jump Variable: The Correct Formula. The Manchester School, 86(1), 49-51.
  Earlier working paper
• Turrini, A., and Zeugner, S. (2016): Baltics’ External Balance: Still a Constraint? CESifo Forum 16(4), pp. 19-30.
• Feldkircher, M., and Zeugner, S. (2015): Bayesian Model Averaging Employing Fixed and Flexible Priors: The BMS Package for R. Journal of Statistical Software, 2015, 68(4).
• Hobza, A., and Zeugner, S. (2014): Current accounts and financial flows in the euro area. Journal of International Money and Finance 48(B), pp.291-313.
  Paper website with data | Earlier working paper version
• Feldkircher, M., and Zeugner, S. (2012): The Impact of Data Revisions on the Robustness of Growth Determinants - A Note on 'Determinants of Economic Growth. Will Data Tell?'. Journal of Applied Econometrics 27(4), pp.686-694.
  Working paper version
• Kollmann, R., and Zeugner, S. (2012): Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 36(8), pp.1267-1283.
  Paper website with data

Working papers

• Coutinho, L., Turrini, A., and Zeugner, S. (2018): Methodologies for the Assessment of Current Account Benchmarks. European Economy Discussion Paper 86.
• Feldkircher and Zeugner (2012): Benchmark Priors Revisited: On Adaptive Shrinkage and the Supermodel Effect in Bayesian Model Averaging IMF working paper 09/202.
• Wagner and Zeugner: Principal-components-augmented model averaging
• Zeugner: Endogenous Transport Investment, Geography, and Growth Take-Offs (Dec 2009 version), and the adhering presentation.
• Zeugner: Tradable Vs. Non-Tradable: An Empirical Approach To The Classification Of Sectors (Oct 2013), and the adhering presentation.

Other published work

• Hobza, S., and Zeugner, S. (2013): Current-account surpluses in the Eurozone: Should they be reduced?. Voxeu.org column.
• Hobza,S., Nogueira Martins, J., and Zeugner, S. (2012, eds.): Current account surpluses in the EU European economy 9|2012.

Software:

• Related to Bayesian Model Averaging, Martin Feldkircher and me have developed the R-package BMS for Bayesian Model Averaging.
• For smaller projects, see Resources.

Miscellaneous:

• My undergrad diploma thesis: The Regional Dimension of European Framework Programme Research Collaboration - A Gravity Approach
• In addition, some seminar papers from my studies are floating around